Hey,

Welcome to AI vs Market.

Here's the deal: I run three AI trading bots — crypto, stocks, and momentum — with real capital. Every week I publish exactly what they're doing, what the signals say, and what the P&L looks like.

No cherry-picked backtests. No "my bot is up 10,000%." Just the real thing, documented publicly.

This is Issue #1, so let me introduce you to the three bots before we get into the numbers.

The Three Bots

🤖 CryptoBot v9.4 — BTC Grid Trading (Coinbase)
Strategy: ATR-adaptive grid trading on BTC-USD. 5 grid levels, geometric spacing. Uses a 9-signal stack (RSI, MACD, ADX, Fear & Greed, funding rate, long/short ratio, OBV, and more) to decide when to deploy.

📈 TradeBot — Stock Momentum (Alpaca, Paper)
Strategy: 13-indicator scoring system scanning 70 stocks. Runs in DAY or SWING mode. Currently in BEAR regime — tighter stops, higher thresholds, fewer positions.

🚀 Momentum Bot V3 — Crypto Pullback (Kraken, Paper)
Strategy: Long-only pullback entries in confirmed uptrends on BTC, ETH, and SOL. 4H candles. Waits for EMA21 > EMA55, then enters on -4% to +1.5% pullbacks from swing highs.

This Week's Bot Report

CryptoBot v9.4

Market regime: Extreme Fear (Fear & Greed Index: 8/100)
Bot status: Buy signals triggering — accumulating in extreme fear conditions
What the signals say: Long/Short ratio at 50/50, OBV stable, funding rate neutral. The bot is reading this as an opportunity, not a threat.
The human take: Most people panic at Fear & Greed 8. The bot doesn't have emotions — it follows its rules. We'll see who's right.

Momentum Bot V3

Current positions: 0 (fully in cash)
Portfolio: $10,000.00 | Return: +0.00%
What the bot sees: BTC, ETH, and SOL are all in downtrends. EMA21 is below EMA55 across the board. The bot's rule: no uptrend, no trade.The human take: This is the bot doing its job correctly. Sitting out a downtrend isn't a loss — it's discipline. The entry signal requires a confirmed uptrend first.

TradeBot

Regime: BEAR (SPY below 50 EMA, elevated volatility)
Status: Running on Alpaca paper trading
BEAR mode rules: Threshold raised to 7/13, tighter stops (1.0%), max 5 positions, sector caps tightened. Only the strongest signals get through.

What I'm Watching

The market is at an interesting inflection point. Extreme Fear readings (sub-10 on Fear & Greed) have historically been good long-term entry zones — but that doesn't mean the bottom is in.

The Momentum Bot's "no uptrend, no trade" rule is doing exactly what it's supposed to: protecting capital while the trend is unclear.

Next week I'll have actual trade data to show you. If any of the bots fires a signal, you'll see the full entry: price, size, rationale, and what the human would have done differently.

Why I'm Doing This Publicly

Most "AI trading" content is performance theater. People show you the wins, hide the losses, and sell you a course.

I'm doing the opposite. Every week you'll see:

  • Real P&L (wins and losses)

  • Real drawdowns when they happen

  • The bot's reasoning, not just the outcome

  • What I would have done manually vs what the bot did

The goal is to build a real, verifiable track record over time — something no marketing hype can fake.

One Tool I Use Every Day

If you're serious about following along, you need TradingView. It's where I monitor price action, check regime conditions, and verify bot signals against the chart.

Get TradingView here (this is an affiliate link — I earn a commission if you upgrade, at no extra cost to you)

The free plan is solid. I use the Premium tier for the extra indicators and faster data.

That's Issue #1. Next week: live trade data, P&L update, and I'll explain exactly how the CryptoBot decides when to buy in a Fear & Greed 8 environment.

— Alex
AI vs Market

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